The Da Silva method assumes that the observed value of the dependent variable at the tth time point on the ith cross-sectional unit can be expressed as
where
Since the observations are arranged first by cross sections, then by time periods within cross sections, these equations can be written in matrix notation as
where
Here 1 is an
vector with all elements equal to 1, and
denotes the Kronecker product.
The following conditions are assumed:
is a sequence of nonstochastic, known
vectors in
whose elements are uniformly bounded in
. The matrix X has a full column rank p.
a is a vector of uncorrelated random variables such that and
,
.
b is a vector of uncorrelated random variables such that and
where
and
.
is a sample of a realization of a finite moving-average time series of order
for each i ; hence,
where are unknown constants such that
and
, and
is a white noise process for each i—that is, a sequence of uncorrelated random variables with
, and
.
for
are mutually uncorrelated.
The sets of random variables ,
, and
for
are mutually uncorrelated.
If assumptions 1–6 are satisfied, then
and
where is a
matrix with elements
,
where for
. For the definition of
,
,
, and
, see the section Fuller-Battese Method.
The covariance matrix, denoted by V, can be written in the form
where , and, for
,
is a band matrix whose kth off-diagonal elements are 1’s and all other elements are 0’s.
Thus, the covariance matrix of the vector of observations y has the form
where
The estimator of is a two-step GLS-type estimator—that is, GLS with the unknown covariance matrix replaced by a suitable estimator of V. It is obtained by substituting Seely estimates for the scalar multiples
.
Seely (1969) presents a general theory of unbiased estimation when the choice of estimators is restricted to finite dimensional vector spaces, with a special emphasis on quadratic estimation of functions of the form .
The parameters (
) are associated with a linear model
with covariance matrix
where
(
) are real symmetric matrices. The method is also discussed by Seely (1970b, 1970a); Seely and Zyskind (1971). Seely and Soong (1971) consider the MINQUE principle, using an approach along the lines of Seely (1969).